Latest stories

  • Why Isn’t Trump Trying to Win?

    The fate of an incumbent president is exquisitely sensitive to economic conditions. Incumbents tend to lose elections when the economy is weak (e.g., George H. W. Bush’s defeat in 1992) and win when it’s strong (e.g., Bill Clinton’s romp four years later). The 2020 economy…
  • When Women Lead Protest Movements

    One of the most striking things about the prodemocracy protests in Belarus has been the outsize role of women. A woman, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, has emerged as the unlikely political challenger to longtime Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko. Two of the country’s highest-profile opposition figures, who have…
  • Donald Trump Is Attacking Politics Itself

    After a caravan of Donald Trump’s supporters descended on Portland, Oregon, this weekend, aching to grapple, he praised them as “great patriots.” In cheering them on, Trump is pointing them, and others like them, toward a specific target. What he seeks to eliminate is politics…
  • The Battle for the Future of the GOP Is No Contest

    Tim Scott stood in front of a row of American flags in a stately, COVID-emptied Washington, D.C., auditorium, talking about family. The South Carolina Republican explained that his grandfather, who grew up in the segregated South and never learned to read or write, had to…